Another of our self
inflicted problems at the moment is what we call the housing crisis. In the late 1940's there was a severe
shortage of homes and one approach was to encourage emigration. For some, notably orphans, it was
deportation.
At the time it was claimed
by certain experts that the population problem was one of the factors. These days, despite having a rather larger
population suggestions that this might be an issue is frowned on for many
reasons.
One factor is that that
the expectation of life has risen so more live rather longer. Despite the efforts of some NHS services to
curb this trend the numbers still rise inexorably. I really should have bought shares in zimmer
frames, wheelchairs and walking sticks.
The latest reports suggest
that soon there were be not enough immediate family members to support the aged
and not long later there will not be enough available labour to care for the
rest. There are no plans for any radical
increase in either care homes or lesser residential homes.
Economically, once day to
day housing was regarded very much as consumption because of its nature and the
impact on ordinary family budgets.
Nowadays, it is assumed to be largely investment because it has become
not just a store of value or has value in use, it is expected to yield a
significant rate of return on outlays.
To add to our troubles
housing has been a key political issue for some decades leading both to short
term fixes and creative accounting in government budgeting. We may have lost sight of the wood for the
trees. So for many reasons the complications
of rapid building are leading us down other roads.
Rebuild rather than new build is one approach. In
the case of the linked article it is applied to London and the more intensive
use of existing areas whose older properties are either worn out or have become
places to shun rather than to shelter.
There are now parts of
London where unplanned use and additions to garden and other areas have made
extra room but with the dangers of creating areas of semi-shanty towns.
There are different needs for some
that go against the grain of that of the majority with their ideas of
individualism with singles, partners or nuclear families in separate little
boxes. There are those for whom the
extended family is the norm and the proper way to live.
But this is not modern living as most of us understand it and when before
there have been hints of imposing on families the reactions have been
strong. We pay our taxes so the state
should do the job, despite the taxes paid not being half enough to cover those
costs.
One important feature of
building and housing is that we have forgotten the effect of differing forms of
tenure and ownership in property.
Additional to this is the muddle we have over leaseholds. At one time leases were the usual holding, it
was during the 20th Century that we saw the shift to freeholds.
The consequence was that
when leasehold streets reached the end of the then relatively short leases the
way was open to major redevelopment.
There were downsides to this, notably the deterioration common into slum
conditions as the leases came close to their end.
Last but not least is what
we can afford. Because so much property
is now part of speculative finance and sometimes unoccupied as a result the
market is being skewed against the ordinary buyer. Also, as a financial operation the charges
have gone up as well, adding to cost and credit issues.
It is difficult to see
much improvement. Another economic crash
might do for the prices but it might make it impossible for more people to
afford what housing might be available.
America has been a stark example of this.
It is yet another key area
of life, politics and policy where few understand what is happening and fewer
realise the serious consequences of potential extensive failures in both the
market and in social provision.
A natural evolution would be more slums or shanty towns as in the past or in other countries.
ReplyDeleteOr even forced lodging as in WW2.
Then the politicians might begin to solve things.
As has happened before.