According to what is in the newspapers, this is a sequence that is due to happen in the coming years.
The Referendum on
is due to take place. Who votes is not
clear. At the moment it seems that those
on the electoral roll in Scotland will, whether or not they are Scottish
together with the sixteen plus with British citizenship (or not). But Scottish people whose work has taken them
to elsewhere in the Scotland
will not vote. UK
According to Alex Salmond if the vote is in favour of whatever question may be asked to remove
Scotland from the this
transfer of sovereignty will begin. UK
But in 2015 there is to be a General Election for the
What will be the position in the Scottish constituencies if the transfer
has not by then occurred but may do so later that year? UK
While this is going on, it is assumed that the question of
and the EU will be
resolved. The latest story is that Scotland will
remain in/join the EU but not be part of the Euro Zone. A theory is that Scotland may continue with the
pound sterling. Scotland
The assumption is that this will be accomplished easily because
will be entranced by having better access to all those Scottish wind farms,
fisheries (what’s left of them) and oil supplies.
Scottish elections will take place. It is not clear at present how “independent” or what spheres of government Scotland might have in Europe because Europe is in the throes of major political changes bearing on the sovereignty of each of the member nations.
2017 And Beyond
This is unknown territory, if only because the complexities outlined above leave a great deal to be determined What can be said is that the oil is likely to remain in the hands of the oil companies, determined by the grant of oil rights.
The oil rights will be arrived at by negotiation between the major companies and the government which has those rights. These may depend on the what is happening with oil supplies, prices and production costs, there is uncertainty in this field.
At present nobody, least of all
Europe itself, knows what
governance and what powers the EU, more fully united, will have and what will
be left to the member states.
What, I wonder may happen if the EU determines that all the maritime territorial rights, especially oil, will be a function of the EU and not of the member states?
What could possibly go wrong?