In the
turmoil of one kind or another in the coming week, the election and fall out
from Hurricane Sandy in the USA, the current sensations in the UK and the game
of Euro musical chairs in Europe we are continuing to forget what real
challenges we could be in for in the coming decade.
The Oil
Drum site is a regular reminder of some of the essential issues we face and the
complexity of the problems and the difficulty of any debate related to
them. This one appeared today as a link
and comment from the web site The Hill.
It is about
oil production and demand and what might be the new realities.
Given the
key role of the USA
in the world energy markets, let alone the major global companies based there
then anything there applies here with added items. But anything that oil touches is also
affected.
The article
does not mention any of these broader areas of contention and policy. One is certainly food and its’ pricing as
well as patterns of supply.
Historically, in the West we have had up to the recent period not just
relatively cheap oil and fuels but cheap food.
If oil
prices remain high enough to squeeze incomes and impact on savings and
consumption then if other prices either of food or other basic oil dependent
products rise appreciably then the disposable incomes of the bulk of our
populations is going to shrink, both soon and sharply.
These
considerations seem to be wholly absent from any of the political party games
going on in the developed West. Our
“freedom” may soon be less than free and if wanted come at a far higher price.
And we will
all get Austerity whether we like it or not.
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