What we have now learned is that in the contest for Presidential power in the
candidate can be relied on to have a real grip on Foreign Policy or decision
making. The likely result is that
whoever wins the serial mishandling of international affairs is likely to
Europe the contest for authority is reaching levels where
soon there will be bitterness and real trouble.
If Galicia and Catalunya
press forward with plans for a break with Madrid
then the future is unpredictable and dangerous in both and the
European Union. Spain
seismologists have been gaoled for failing to accurately predict the precise
location, strength and effect of earthquakes.
That the area was a known zone of risk and that detailed prediction is
impossible, according to geologists and others was not regarded as evidence. Italy
Also, that the damage and deaths might have been due to the failure of local authorities, politicians and contractors to observe building codes due to corruption and fiddling with the contracts was not an issue at the trial.
It was the Great Lisbon Earthquake of 1st November 1755 (Wikipedia) that was said to have given birth to the science of seismology. Unluckily in the immediate blame game of the aftermath the usual minorities suffered punishment in the name of god.
it seems has yet to catch up. Italy
As for the
, a saying
from a long while ago; source forgotten, was to the effect that when a wounded
wolf smells blood it is at its most dangerous.
The Murdoch response to the events relating to the BBC could be seen in
this light in the scandal surrounding Jimmy Savile. UK
The consequence is that the fall out from this will affect a great many people in ways that are as unpredictable as an earthquake. One certainty is that it will add to the loss of confidence in the
in government and other major institutions.
An item by Charlie Beckett in Polis, below, is one take on this. UK
As we look around us in the
there are far too many areas of government, finance and the media where the
same problem exists. It infects almost
every major policy area where the future is at risk and where sensible
decisions and action are needed. UK
What might happen is that almost by default in the next election there might be a Labour majority. Yet it is commented (see the Raedwald blog) that amongst the Labour leadership are two persons who were closely involved with the National Council of Civil Liberties when they were connected with organisations promoting unlimited sex for all, including children.
But the closed eyes and closed minds problem is international. In the for an insight into this see the web site The Burning Platform has had a series of anguished posts that are long, detailed but worth reading for these insights to what the situation is on the ground.
We have recently had an earthquake swarm in a notoriously twitchy part of
. They are playing it cool and careful at the
moment but are on watch. Nothing much
more may happen, but in Iceland
there is always the next big one due. Iceland
One real storm we can be more certain of is now in the Caribbean heading for
Tropical Storm Sandy that could become a hurricane. After Jamaica the next en route is The
Bahamas. Then which way it might go to
can only be estimated. Jamaica
It might veer East and head in our direction to deliver some wind and rain but it might edge West and cause havoc along the East Coast of the
just in the immediate run up to
the elections. USA
But what else in the world will there be? Perhaps trouble in the currency markets?