It was thirty five years ago, not long after the Franco regime had ended that I drove through the centre of
heading for the Lines of Torres Vedras in , also then going through
political upheaval. Portugal
One feature seen on some buildings was stick pictures of a gallows with someone handing from them with a names or names. There was always a degree of tension in the air. There were monetary problems and it was useful to be carrying pounds and dollars.
We have not been back for a number of years and in that time it has all changed and for a while when the money was flushing in there was a surge of apparent prosperity. Many British moved there confident that the good times would continue to roll.
The question now is how bad might it get and what tensions might erupt or re-erupt in a country that has known too much bitterness in the past and had too many governments inclined to forms of repression that have induced revolts’
But this is
Spain which has existed as a
nation since the 15th Century and for longer. Portugal Italy
however, have both had shorter periods of nation hood. India Italy’s
is from only the mid 19th Century and since 1947, born from the
British Raj. India
The British Raj in turn had brought together the disassociated elements of the former Moghul Empires with other territories into a vast Imperial possession. It is arguable at what date could the Raj be said to have been almost complete, but the 1860’s is one period.
In 1947 and since there have been separations, both
and then Bangla Desh. Essentially, what
has remained is large powerful nations which have apparently their own
These have been based on economic growth, some degree of peace, internal controls and a willingness to accept the many differences between elements of peoples in various territorities.
Italy and , the latter a key state in
the BRIC group of economies that are supposed to be propping up the world
economy, are heading for trouble.
Automatic Earth has an item. India
If there is to be a major contraction in world trade and all economies are to be affected one way or another then what political entities will last in their present form and which ones could begin to disintegrate?
We are fixated on
Europe, supposing that the EU and
Euro can somehow remain intact although damaged. What is not considered is that not only could
the Europe project fall apart but states
within it could face separatist movements and others outside could experience
severe stresses leading to some form of disintegration.
are cutting our Army to a level when it can only sustain a small force in
active service and moreover one that will provide an insufficient base for
training and commanding any rapid expansion if necessary. UK
The Great Game is about to begin again.