The
phrase "train crash" is now a cliche.
Having used it in the past it must be.
It is still favoured by many and various experts suggesting that things
are not as they should be and the prospects look bad. In our complicated and fast moving world
there is no shortage of choices. Barely
a day goes by without another one in the media.
One
area is finance and within this a rich and varied selection. The international bond markets is one with a
number of people betting on the train hitting the buffers any time now. Japan is a leading contender for the trigger
mechanism for this one with real concerns about the way it is going. France is another contender, rivalled by the
UK, the USA as well as a clutch of other smaller financial centres.
Inevitably
the stock markets are one field. It is
alleged that all the funny money, "easing" sloshed out to keep bad banks
in being, broke states functioning and bubbles bubbling to keep the noisy money
go round going round in circles has nowhere else to go to get a return other
than minimal.
This
has rarely if ever worked in the past despite the academic and mathematical
theories and is unlikely to work in the immediate future. One bubble notable in the UK is the property
one in the South East of England especially in the London area and in high
value properties together with EU subsided land.
With
The City too much involved in the international markets and a lot of their
earnings locked up in property together with that of the "hot money"
coming in from disrupted states and indeed too much of the UK economy based on moving
money and creaming the contents the risks are very high. In the USA there are similarities but a much
more complicated situation. There the
risks also are high but the potential effects less predictable.
Among
the other choices is an article in the LSE magazine about the Robbins Report of
1963 about Higher Education recommending a major expansion to allow many more
to go to University from the pool of able people available. What was signal about this report was that it
fudged the costs and overall consequences.
Also
it entirely ignored the major areas of other education that may not have been
university or given degree status but were then available to very many and both
demanding and often of high standard. An
effect of this has been to turn university education into a product dependent
on foreign money along with state support and the creation of a huge lobby in
its own and related narrow interests.
So
now we have nurses many of whom do not actually nurse, teachers who are doing
less and less teaching to deal with paperwork, chronic shortages of key skills,
including doctors and many employers finding it increasingly difficult to find
workers who want to work within the UK labour force. Was the 1960's University model really the
only and the best way to educate and train a labour force?
Apart
from the "train crashes" there are a great many derailments. The BBC has blown £100 million on a failed
digital caper to add to the vast sums spent on colonising and gentrifying
Salford. It's daftness over digital is
minor compared to the vast sums lost by the government. Almost wherever you go in government you see
huge sums lost forever almost all paid for by borrowed money.
And
it is corrupt to an extent that beggars even 18th Century standards. As I write the latest "Private Eye"
has arrived with the picture of the Palace of Westminster on the front. That large tower at one end is called
"Big Bent". It says it all.
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