We are having a respite
from the bad weather, although the experts seem to be very coy about what might
be come yet. It is four weeks to the
onset of spring. Here in the UK usually
this means another lurch into atrocious weather of one kind or another. We shall see.
Early last Autumn it seems
that the Met' Office in its confidential advice sent to the Environment Agency
and subscribing local authorities etc. suggested that it would be a dry winter
with less than average rainfall.
In weather speak that
seemed to me to indicate long blocking highs with bitter cold, fog and maybe
the occasional dose of nuisance snow falls.
What then was the worry was that if it went on long enough and was very cold
there could be energy supply issues.
Happily on this score the
rain and wind although chilly knocked out the power to a vast number of homes which
helped to avoid this problem emerging.
As a blogger I can assert this was due to a conspiracy among highly placed
people to make sacrifices of benefit seekers to the ancient gods of milder wet
weather.
It is one explanation and
arguably more rational than many in the media at present. But the energy problem is still with us and
is not going to go away. This is the
backdrop to an article in "Naked Capitalism" by Yves Smith "Will
The Us Follow The UK Into Power
Shortages" which is
very pessimistic telling us that it is not looking good. In fact the word "catastrophe" is
used.
Unless something nasty
does happen which distracts the media and others from their current obsessions;
given what might be going on in the next couple of years politically will mean
that energy policy, the difficult decisions and the vital work all go on the
back burner.
If one goes into the
realms of fantasy, it could mean that when the HS2 is finally built, probably
at around £150 billion at least, it might have to run at thirty miles an hour
because of the electrical supply limitations.
Football matches may all have to be played earlier in the day because
there are no floodlights.
And there will be no need
to worry about the story lines in all the TV Soaps because nobody can watch. Early to bed, early to rise, makes a man
happier, wealthier and wise.
"...a dry winter with less than average rainfall."
ReplyDeleteI'd be to embarrassed to issue such forecasts. I'm sure there Met Office professionals who hate this part of the job.