After a few
years with a limited number of hurricanes there was talk among some experts
that perhaps the future would see fewer of them. Now, suddenly, we have four
close together. Harvey did major damage to Texas including devastating one of
the USA's major economic locations, Houston.
Irma is on
track to cause extreme damage to parts of the Caribbean and Florida, where The
Keys are being evacuated. Jose follows Irma but is estimated to turn north to
the area of Bermuda but could do further damage on its flanks to areas hit by
Irma. And now Katia has formed in the Gulf of Mexico and estimated to follow
Harvey.
A few years
back, we visited the Caribbean and Miami having family out there timing it for
after the end of the hurricane season. So it was not long after a big bad one
had been through and we saw the scale of the damage it did, let alone the
misery it had caused for the poorer populations.
Clearly the
first consideration was the immediate rescue and repair needs and how to help
the many and various people badly affected. For some it was ironic, notably
those who had been persuaded by a property boom to buy into this sector to make
their fortunes.
But more to
the point was the overall economic effects and other matters. There is little
doubt that the hurricanes had caused major economic problems that would take years
to grasp and sort out. A side effect coupled with population movements was that
criminal gangs increased their power and authority in many districts.
If the present
series of hurricanes present anything like these challenges in the USA and
other parts of the Caribbean it will be not simply matters of governance but a
good many sectors of the economies will suffer setbacks, perhaps permanent and
in some cases catastrophic.
That these
events come at a time when governance, economic management and international
finance are under major stress in a world where the great powers are no longer
great, unions are not unified and the trade and finance impossible to control
means we could be facing more crises than dealing with weather damage.
None of our
present political leaders, nor their governments and nor the international
organisations are capable of dealing with any of it.
Hurricanes do at least remind us of the potential for serious disruption caused by natural events. Puts our political posturing into some kind of context, although not for long. We are good at forgetting.
ReplyDeleteDamned nature, Demetrius - we need to ban it.
ReplyDeleteAre not such catastrophes a great political boon. New jobs for rebuilding. Outranking other claimant on the public purse.
ReplyDeleteMight even shut up the snowflakes et al.