Today there
was a lot to do, so I thought something light and not too demanding might be
the thing. Then I recalled some sites
left aside in the last few days and had a look, big mistake.
This turned up
on the Bank of England Underground site dealing with "Extracting Insight
From Complexity" which to say the least is testing. At the end it contemplates running the
economy from a bank of monitors in Star Trek style.
So I wonder
about all those journalists and pundits who are now in a high fever of
excitement about what is happening in the markets, trade, politics and the
rest. There is a sneaking suspicion that
they are not entirely up to this kind of thing.
This is the
abstract, quote:
The
financial system is complex and highly interconnected. Indeed,
interactions between agents are key to its functioning. But these
interconnections have the potential to turn small shocks into systemic crises.
Understanding
the complex nature of these interconnections is important, but can also be
difficult. In this post we introduce new tools designed to analyse the
financial network and help analysts build a better understanding of risks posed
by interconnectedness.
Unquote.
I think I
will go for a quiet lie down before tea.
From your link :-
ReplyDelete"Because interconnectedness depends on so many different attributes, it can be hard to analyse empirically."
Analysing events empirically usually means afterwards.