In the planning for costly
infrastructure projects a leading theme is the need for "business"
use. This assumes that it will rise indefinitely
and be critical to increasing GDP and economic activity. In short it will grow itself.
Indeed if the entire
population of the UK could be persuaded to take to the motorways more it would
increase spending and boost a number of figures. But given the technological squeeze on jobs
at the top and the sheer inconvenience of much of it will this be the case?
We do not know; we are
only guessing. It will need better IT communication
systems, however to persuade business people to give up on the travel. This youtube item that came from one of the
family is great fun if you
enjoy a good spoof. Watch out until the
end.
However the cries for
infrastructure argue that as well as business there is also the tourist and
other travel demand rising inexorably and driving GDP increases in their
turn. This is said to amount to 80% of
the total, much more than business.
It may not be so simple as
suggested. The Prudent Bear questions
whether this continuing and increasing rise is possible given the overall
economic and financial issues. In a long and closely argued article it
gives a survey of the world situation, mainly the USA but with Britain around
half way down.
Just how far can we rely
on what has been happening in the last decade or two to go on and on into the
mid 21st Century? When the baby boomers
have gone who will be able to do the spending?
"When the baby boomers have gone who will be able to do the spending?"
ReplyDeleteWe'll never know.