When a frisky lad into my forties
it was the 1970's and changes were happening.
As one of the age group of the last cohort of the Old World; never to be
a teenager because they had not been invented but young to be really one of the
age that I was born into we saw the best and worst of both.
By the end of the 1970's
and going into the 1980's we were already beginning to feel the hot breath on
our necks of the first of the Baby Boomers wanting The Old World out of the
way, not satisfied to wait decades before attaining rank in management and
politics.
In the 60's and 50's
pension schemes had become common in the private and public sectors introduced
largely in the 20th Century on the basis of a small number of arrangements of
the 19th. They were strictly drawn up in
terms of conditions and eligibility to ensure that they paid their way.
In my view the first cats
out of the bag in the 1970's were as a result of the major Heath local government reorganisation merging many authorities and putting many older people close to
retirement in difficult positions. So
early retirement was allowed as a "one off". At least that was the theory.
Inevitably, many who would
have rather retired were out of luck.
Also, many categories of staff did not get it, notably teachers for whom
a simple change of who paid the salary was not enough. They were bought off with a large pay rise.
So the pressure was
on. When severe cutbacks later became
necessary in local government more early retirements occurred and because the
teachers pay rises have given the budgets a bashing authorities brought in
schemes to allow many to go, because for them the cost was borne by the
taxpayer.
At the same time along
with this and relatively unseen was that the handling of retirements for
sickness was eased, again without really being costed in to the eventual
liabilities. Along with these employees
the unions for police, fire and other all gained from an easing of the rules.
A key reason was that
because of "Austerity" there were attempts at prices and wages
control policies as well as cuts. So in
actual pay negotiations the tinkering and adjusting of retirement schemes
became part of the game. A bit here and
a bit there put off the evil day of having to pay for it.
In the meantime the
demographics got lost in the fog, the expectation of life was going up. More to the point in the polite jobs it was
rising rather faster. The actuaries
failed to keep up with it and began to embrace optimism or were ignored as
inconvenient number crunchers of lesser status in the high business of doing
pay deals.
Certainly, by 1990 it was
my view that sooner or later the door would have to close and some painful
decisions taken, so I headed for the exit. I was wrong. Blair and Brown had
talked to Fred Goodwin and other bankers and declared that boom and bust was
over and we were in to the Goldilocks economy of ever increasing money that
would fund all our desires.
Then there is the private
sector, another story altogether but related.
My first warning sign came in the 1970's when my father's old firm was
taken over by a US financial outfit who stripped out the pension fund on day
one. After 35 years service and a few
years retired he was left with peanuts and down to his state pension.
It was listening to Tom
Bower in a private meeting who told us what he thought about Gordon Brown's
ideas on private pensions that alerted me to the fact that private pensions
were not just a treasure to be looted by the banksters and such. He did not like them and saw their funds as a
honey pot to be raided at will. Which is
more or less what happened for so many.
This is where we are
today. In the public sector the
demographics have had their way together with all the paper promises of the
past. The result is cuts all over the
place to cover the huge losses in pension funds. The private sector pensioners are prisoners
to the pirates of the financial services industry, whose profits are now the
key to our GDP.
We may be at the point
when this is not going to be sorted out because our politicians cannot handle
it. What happens in the immediate future
is anybody's guess but whatever does may not be a happy business.
The Baby Boomers did not
rule OK.
In future decades many outside the public sector will probably end up on a state pension and little else. This will create enormous tensions because those in the public sector are effectively given two state pensions.
ReplyDeletePresumably this will have to come to an end one way or another.