Guido Fawkes
web site points to Vernon Bognador in the "Telegraph" who reminds
us that is now exactly sixty years ago since The Suez Crisis moved into top
gear with all the later consequences.
Not least a
Prime Minister lost because of the bungling (what? another one?) but because it
marked the change that had taken place in the UK's role in the world.
The theme of
his article is not to rehearse the past but to say that in the ensuing decades
we have still not found a real answer to the question of what to do with a
rogue or demented dictator, especially in the Middle East, where there has been
a good many of them.
With the end
of the Pax Britannica and the waywardness of the Pax Americana and lost hope of
a Pax UN there have been many attempts to deal with these dictators. One would like to think good and bad but in
reality it has been bad and worse.
For me the
Suez Crisis is not something from way back history, it is still living
memory. One thing I recall is being with
groups of reservists, former regular soldiers who after service were contracted
to a number of years on the reserve.
They had no
wish to be recalled leaving jobs, families and financial commitments to sort
out another mess in the Middle East.
They like many others in the Army, regarded the Suez venture as a bad
business. National Servicemen due for
demob' were facing delays and extension of service in some cases.
The surprise
was that more mutinies did not occur, but perhaps the rigour of discipline and
the potential penalties deterred most of us.
The military prisons of Bielefeld, Colchester and Shepton Mallet were no
place to spend your younger years and few emerged from them with their sanity
intact.
This
post from last November 24th on this blog has a lot to say about it
all. One aspect that is not there nor
referred to in most discussions is that at the time the politicians were still
in the shadow of the Iran Crisis of 1951, the nationalisation of oil by Iran and
centred on the refinery of Abadan.
In the
election of October 1951 when the Tories took over from Labour, this was a
major issue. Despite Labour polling
their highest vote ever the Tories won by a slender margin of seats. So when
Prime Minister Eden was faced by President Nasser of Egypt and his
nationalisation plans for the Suez Canal it was seen as critical.
What the
present government may be faced with that might come out of the blue on the
Middle East is hard to predict. How well
they might respond or how badly is the question. If the past is any guide there is only one
answer, another debacle.
Yes, the past is a guide and another debacle is pretty well guaranteed.
ReplyDeleteIn an earlier comment you wrote:
Delete«Prince Charles blames climate change for the Syrian mess»
That seems a very reasonable insight, similar issues are apparently at the root of the Yemeni situation, and Saudi Arabia are terrified of their own water situation (the water table in the Hejaz has dropped hundreds of meters) and at some point wanted many nuclear power stations to power desalinasation; they now are using various schemes, some quite crazy, to save water. If the once verdant Middle East becomes even drier, perhaps 10-20 million desperate migrants might happen.
An interesting couple of recent articles:
https://www.revealnews.org/article/were-running-out-of-water-and-the-worlds-powers-are-very-worried/
http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/israel-proves-the-desalination-era-is-here/
On the more general issue, the biggest problem with the Syria situation is that it is not clear on whose side the UK is, at least in the Suez situation it was very clear.
ReplyDeleteISIS appears to be a Saudi/Turkish supported project, and various other groups have had various sets of sponsors.
To show the confusion, in a recent UK court case some guy was being tried for "supporting" a Syrian "terrorist" group, but the case collapsed when a news report showed that they were being funded by MI6.
I think that the UK is considering getting into Syria just to make a gesture. That may be good home politics, but perhaps unwise. Anyhow currently it is all being carefully managed by B Johnson, good luck! :-)