Our world is not a happy
place and in some parts the horror of human descent into war and conflict is
all too apparent. In this field Michael
Yon has seen a great deal of it.
His latest post from
Syria, Not A Crosswalk presents us
with the reality. There is a lot to
worry about.
In this context the
attempts by the West to "do something" are not having much effect,
let alone success. If Zero Hedge is to
be believed it has gone
badly wrong and gives no cause for hope or optimism. How and where it will end is still an open
question.
There are some historians
who looking at the past have seen something of a pattern when revolution or
associated social and governmental collapse occurs.
It is one that features in
Yon's article. There are many groups of
young men with little education, no real future who are "surplus" and
usually detached from their families.
If they are allowed to
roam, given some "cause" or belief and then armed they can be a
source of serious instability, violence and a breakdown in law and social
order.
If there are people who
will fund them, supply the arms and offer basic logistical support then the
scope for trouble or even disaster is real.
In Syria this is the
case. There are a large number of such
groups very active and cannot be said to control, because such organisation or
capability is beyond them. The result is
chaos and all that it implies.
Whether they are defeated or
do bring about chaos or a radical change of rule in Syria is difficult to
judge. But when Syria is finished where
will some or most of them be going next?
As a result of its one child policy, China has a large number of footloose young men - millions apparently.
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