Quite why the government of Spain should choose the
middle of the holiday season to mount a diplomatic and on the ground campaign
against Gibraltar is worrying. It is not
just entirely the wrong way to attach the citizens of Gibraltar to their cause
it is that they have not thought through the wider consequences.
With so much delicately balanced in financial and
economic terms it is the wrong argument to get into at the wrong time. Looking impartially at the situation surely
if Spain wanted the Gibraltarians to opt for their rule a policy of unalloyed
generosity, civility, helpfulness and fellow feeling would be better.
Shouting, bullying and macho posturing may be all very
well in dealings with Brussels, but Gibraltar is different. For a start it is a lot more coherent and
civilised. What few governments, notably
those of the UK and Spain, fail to understand in the modern world is how much
is now out of their control.
The obvious one is finance and banking. Less obvious is the power of the internet for
communication and organisation. Small entities
now have much more scope for either defending themselves or for going on the
attack. The dire economic situation in
Spain is one where they do not need much more bad news or adverse shifts in
international demand.
But one stupid disastrous blunder or a series of nasty
events could trigger international reactions.
The easy one is for some to decide to call for boycotts of Spanish goods
and produce. The really determined could
organise this kind of thing all too easily.
Another point of weakness is finance. It is likely that the tax avoidance and kind
of banking facilities now available in Gibraltar may well be a thorn in the
side of the Spanish tax raising authorities.
But these are closely interwoven with those in other tax havens. Taking over Gibraltar by force will not
change the situation. Overnight the
money could be gone.
If the Spanish government sparks off an international
flight of capital that affects Spain badly at the same time as facing a world
wide internet campaign against its export trade then it could inflict serious
harm on its own economy. What is
worrying is that they are stupid enough to do it. Also, it could happen all too quickly.
One of features for which Gibraltar is famous is its
colony of Barbary Macaque Apes, or more properly, monkeys. What is the old saying?
Softly, softly, catchee monkey?
The boycott has already begun. How widespread it is, and what effect it has, remain to be seen.
ReplyDeleteWe could start with their fruit, then move on to their Seat cars...
ReplyDelete